Post-Pandemic Planning

How to responsibly resume onsite operations, business continuity, and worker safety in 2021.

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The news of effective COVID-19 vaccines from multiple pharmaceutical companies has people anticipating living life without masks very soon. But experts are saying—not so fast. We won’t truly be out of the woods until there is widespread immunization and the contagion rate goes down, and that could take a while.

That means, as we move into 2021, there will still be guidelines to follow from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) around personal protective equipment (PPE) and social distancing. Companies will continue to allow telecommuting and will continue to invest and use technology to stay connected with employees, partners, suppliers, and customers—regardless of location. And keep that mask handy because many American citizens are embracing the wearing of masks in public and, even after the pandemic passes, a mask may be the new social norm anytime someone is not feeling well. Masks in, handshakes out.

But it’s not just human behavior that is changing. Business has changed, too. Manufacturers have learned how to be resilient during this pandemic, responding quickly to disruptions in the supply chain and in their own operations. And the “new normal” may just be here to stay.

“Enabling business continuity has sweeping implications beyond the pandemic,” says Wes Sylvester, global director of the manufacturing, energy, and industrials practice at Cisco Systems Inc. “We have spent a lot of time talking to CIOs, CFOs, and people running the plants, and most of them are finding that safety will be of the utmost importance when they make a transition back. And they are working on being more resilient, everything from supplier diversity to the opportunity to go back into the office or make more roles permanently work from home. Everyone is focused on work from home and remote access and those things we believe will stay after the issues have subsided. But one survey I recently saw said 75% of workers still want an office and a place to go. So, as you think about scaling up remote access and work, you also have to think about how to scale it down in times of crisis.”

Crisis could be a pandemic, a power outage, or a natural disaster. It’s anything that disrupts operations. Going forward, business continuity requires resiliency, which Sylvester says relies on four business behaviors: respond, reflect, reimagine, and rebound.

Response is the immediate “must-do” reactions including social distancing, contact tracing, PPE, temperature screening, and cleaning. Reflect includes a plan for the next three to 12 months, such as hybrid work modes, stabilizing the supply chain, retaining institutional knowledge, and adopting remote access, remote experts, and mobile workers. Reimagine includes a plan for the new normal. That could mean new digital businesses, new products, near sourcing supplies, more connected supply chains, and advanced manufacturing technologies. And then a company can rebound by putting new models to work.

Of course, rebounding requires management to think differently.

Future-back strategy development
While we can all learn from the past year, it’s more important to look far into the future. So, for example, here we are in a world where companies like Facebook are announcing it anticipates that half of its employees will permanently work from home by 2030, brought on as a result of a pandemic that is changing the way we work. But it’s not so easy to do. It requires technology, policies, process changes, new rules, and a culture shift to ensure people working at home feel as rewarded and in the know as those working onsite.

“It’s a system problem,” says Mark Johnson, co-founder and senior partner at growth strategy firm Innosight. “Trying to get someone to do something breakthrough means not following the traditional path upward and onward. It’s not like following Lean and Six Sigma to drive efficiency improvement. It’s a step change, a point of departure, and a transformation.”

Johnson co-authored a book on how to evolve an organization toward a new paradigm. The book, called Lead from the Future, How to Turn Visionary Thinking into Breakthrough Growth, focuses on a concept called “future-back,” which addresses the barriers to change that exist in established organizations. “Systems replace systems, so what is the new system? Imagine that and architect it and work it back.”

To do that, answer the questions: What’s the objective and what do you imagine are all of the pieces of the system in the future? What assumptions have you made and how do you walk back to the experiments you need to start today?

And, while it may seem to be a reverse engineering exercise, “the difference here is that the system is not just technological, but it involves humans. Nobody knows what the world will look like 10 years from now, but by having the conversations, bringing in trends and the potential disrupters, and spending the time to ask the right questions and have the right discussions, you start to develop a point of view,” Johnson says. “It’s filled with assumptions, but innovation teams are often surprised by how much of a sense of direction they have of where they want to go.”

During the COVID-19 crisis, so much has changed and it isn’t going to go away, Johnson says. Management should ask questions to figure out what the future company “system” will look like. “But the better question is, ‘do we have a plan to learn?’”

A good place to start learning is to look at other industries. In education and in cities with smart buildings, there are social distance monitoring and hybrid learning spaces with advanced technology. “In smart buildings, we have an amazing camera solution where we look at people to see if they are socially distanced and if they are wearing the correct PPE,” says Cisco’s Sylvester.

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